Best Week 16 NFL Parlays and Teasers

Dec 18, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts after rushing for a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks during the first quarter at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY SportsOur Week 16 parlay picks include bets on the Packers, Chiefs and EaglesWe’ve bet down the Bills and added points to three teams on Sunday and Monday to create our four-team teaser predictionsRead on to see our breakdown of this week’s best Week 16 parlays and teasers to target this weekend

We have NFL games on all three days this holiday weekend from Saturday, to Sunday and Christmas Day on Monday. And this week’s Week 16 NFL parlays and teasers will touch on games across the full slate. Starting with the Bengals vs Steelers and ending with the Ravens vs 49ers.

See why we’ve included these seven teams into our best parlays and teasers for Week 16 here.

Week 16 Parlay Picks

Our Week 16 parlay predictions include three favorites in the Packers, Chiefs and Eagles that comes in at -107 odds on the ESPN BET app.

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NFL Week 16 Parlay Picks

After back-to-back losses, I’m banking on the Packers getting back on track versus the 2-12 Panthers and two heavy home favorites taking down divisional rivals on Christmas Day.

Packers vs Panthers

Pick: Packers

The ebbs and flows of the NFL season have been no more evident than with the current play of the Packers. They never looked better with wins over the Lions (29-22) and Chiefs (27-19), but then never looked worse than they did in the past two games losing 24-22 to the Giants and the Buccaneers 34-20.

Week 16 could be the spot to get back in the win column as they go to Carolina to face the 2-12 Carolina Panthers. The Panthers got that second win last week, but by a baseball score of 9-7. The Panthers average just 14.7 PPG (29th) and have scored 9, 6, 18, 10, 10, 13, 13 and 15 points in their past eight games. The Packers can do better than that, are 5-2 ATS on the road and will get the win to kick off our Week 16 parlays and teasers.

Raiders vs Chiefs

Pick: Chiefs

These teams just played on November 26 and after falling behind 14-0 in Las Vegas, the Chiefs woke up and scored 31 of the next 34 points to go on and win 31-17. But it was two losses following that win versus the Packers and Bills, before a less-than-convincing 27-17 win over the Patriots last week. That game was just 14-10 KC heading into the half.

But KC has won six straight in this divisional rivalry, 11/12 and 16/18. The Raiders steamrolled a Chargers team that has packed it in on the season 63-21 last week, but this is the same team that got shut out 3-0 to Minnesota the week prior.

Mahomes’ ATS record when favored by 7+ points may not be great at 21-26-2, but he is 10-1 SU versus the Raiders.

Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (shoulder) will return for Week 16 vs. Raiders, per Andy Reidhttps://t.co/f5R4LHYRPX pic.twitter.com/GKMvO1AVjy

— Around The NFL (@AroundTheNFL) December 18, 2023

 

Giants vs Eagles

Pick: Eagles

The Giants got their dead cat bounce with the insertion of Tommy DeVito at quarterback and he and his agent got their moment in the spotlight with three straights wins over the Commanders, Patriots and even the Packers in prime-time. That was going to be a hard act to follow and it was, as they went to New Orleans and lost 24-6 last week.

Not that the Eagles are in great shape themselves after suffering three straight losses including a MNF 20-17 road loss in Seattle to Drew Lock. They’ll have the short rest here, but Jalen Hurts should be fully recovered from whatever ailment he was under last game and the Eagles will return home to where they are 5-1 this season. They’re also 4-0 and 16-3 SU versus the Giants going back to 2014. Their last game, in the playoffs last year, was a 38-7 beatdown in Philadelphia. Let’s expect more of the same to complete our Week 16 parlay picks.

Week 16 NFL Parlay Picks: Packers / Chiefs / Eagles (-107); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET

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Week 16 Teaser Picks

Matchup	Pick (Teaser Odds)
Bills vs Chargers	Bills -2.5 (-595)
Bengals vs Steelers	Bengals +7.5 (-690)
Jaguars vs Bucs	Bucs +7.5 (-548)
Ravens vs 49ers	Ravens +14.5 (-438)
TOTAL ODDS	-106

At -106 odds in this weekend’s NFL Week 16 teaser predictions we’ve bet down the Bills to -2.5, turned the Bengals and Bucs into +7.5 underdogs and turned the Ravens into big double-digit underdogs as well.

NFL Week 16 Teaser Picks

I’ve created this teaser by choosing alternate spreads at DraftKings, but you should be able to do so at most football betting apps. Though some books may not allow for as much movement in the lines as DK.

Bills vs Chargers

Pick: Bills -2.5

No matter how you use the Bills in your Week 16 parlays and teasers they have to make an appearance in some form. They’re favored by double-digits in the football betting lines so the teaser route may offer a little better value than the moneyline for these picks.

Of course no two teams have looked worse or better in the past week. The Chargers got completely boat-raced in Las Vegas last Thursday. The final scoreline looks bad enough at 63-21, but those 21 points were meaningless as they came after the game was 49-0. The 63 points allowed was the most the Chargers had given up in team history. Brandon Staley’s time was coming after the Chargers also put up 7, 6 and ten points in their previous games as well, and this loss did him in.

Can an interim head coach, Giff Smith, no Justin Herbert and no Keenan Allen (injured), derail the suddenly surging Buffalo Bills? Doubtful.

Buffalo is at the other end of the ledger coming off wins over the Chiefs and then Cowboys last week. Josh Allen was barely needed in throwing for just 94 yards and one touchdown in their 31-10 route of Dallas. Instead James Cook ran all over the Cowboys for 179 yards. Allen, third in passing touchdowns this season with 26, could have a field day though this week versus a Chargers secondary ranked 30th versus the pass and that just allowed Aidan O’Connell to throw for four touchdowns.

Bengals vs Steelers

Pick: Bengals +7.5

Since losing to Pittsburgh 16-10 in Jake Browning’s debut as a starter, these teams have gone in completely opposite directions. The Bengals have won their next three games and have scored 34, 34 and 27 points. In those wins, Browning has a combined 954 passing yards and five touchdowns.

The Steelers have gone the otehr way losing three games and have only scored 10, 18 and 13 points in those defeats.

They’re now down to third-string quarterback Mason Rudolph who has only played in 18 games in his career.

Mike Tomlin is usually money as a dog, a spot where he’s 55-31-3 ATS but the Steelers’ seven wins this season have all come by under one score and never by more than seven points. I don’t see Rudolph changing those NFL team trends and will take Cincinnati as part of my Week 16 teaser picks.

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Jaguars vs Buccaneers

Pick: Buccaneers +7.5

The Bucs are a teaser players dream as they play in many close games. And generally, they either win, or lose close. Last week they did win big, 34-20 in Green Bay, now putting them first in the NFC South. That puts them on a three-game winning streak, though the other two wins were only by four and three points over the Falcons and Panthers respectively.

In their losses, they’ve lost by 7, 13, 2, 6, 3, 14 and 14 points, with the bigger defeats coming versus top teams like Detroit, Philadelphia and San Francisco.

The Jaguars are 8-6 and lead their division themselves, so could also be considered a top team, though still not quite as good as those other three. And, they come in losers of three straight, 23-7 versus the Ravens last week and 31-27 and 34-31 versus the Browns and Bengals in the games prior.

Starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence sustained a concussion last game and is still in concussion protocol as of Friday so it looks like CJ Beathard will be getting the start. An unlikely recipe for a big Jags win.

Never thought i'd say this but THANK GOD for Baker Mayfield… By far the best QB in the NFC South:

Mayfield – 24 TDs 8 INTsCarr – 16 TDs 7 INTsRidder – 10 TDs 10 INTsYoung – 9 TDs 9 INTs

And at $4Million + incentives contract, what a steal! pic.twitter.com/0al0cFnL3T

— The Dynasty Grill (@FFDynastyGrill) December 19, 2023

Ravens vs 49ers

Pick: Ravens +14.5

The Ravens only have three losses on the year, none in their past four games and only by 2, 7 and 3 points.

They average 27.4 PPG (4th) and have scored over 30 points in six of their past eight games.

One of the three teams Baltimore is behind in scoring is San Fran, who average 30.4 PPG (3rd). You can say the same thing about the 49ers of late when it comes to scoring in that they’ve won six straight, have scored 34, 27, 31, 42, 28 and 45 points while doing so and have won by 31, 13, 18, 23, 12 and 16 points in those games.

But the Ravens have spent 90-percent of the season either tied or leading and have led in the final two minutes of every single game this season.

This is an instance where whichever team was the underdog would likely create good teaser opportunities. In this case it’s the Ravens. Plus Lamar Jackson has excelled in that role being 11-2 ATS as an underdog, while Baltimore overall is 20-4-1 ATS as a dog in their past 25 games.

Week 16 NFL Teaser picks: Bills -2.5 / Bengals +7.5 / Buccaneers +7.5 / Ravens +14.5 (-106); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Season record: 15-15, -1.08 units

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