Green Bay Packers vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Spread & Picks for Monday Night Football

Sep 24, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) throws the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY SportsThe Las Vegas Raiders are 2-point home favorites over the Green Bay Packers in the Week 5 MNF game on Monday, October 9Since 2010, Green Bay owns a .714 (10-4) straight up winning percentage on MNF, while Las Vegas has lost eight in a row to the PackersGet Packers vs Raiders odds, picks, and predictions for Monday Night Football

Assessing the Week 5 MNF game between the Green Bay Packers (2-2, 3-1 ATS) and the Las Vegas Raiders (1-3, 1-3 ATS), all of the numbers are pointing toward a Packers victory. Green Bay is 10-4 straight up on MNF since 2010, a .714 winning percentage.

In the last eight games between these two teams, the Packers are 8-0 straight-up and 7-1 against the spread. Yet in the betting line on this game, oddsmakers have set hometown Las Vegas as 2-point favorites. The Raiders are 4-3 SU and ATS in their last seven games as home chalk.

Let’s look into the Packers vs Raiders odds more deeply and offer you our prediction for this NFL Week 5 matchup, a replay of Super Bowl II.

Packers vs Raiders Odds

In the Green Bay vs Las Vegas odds, the Raiders are -130 moneyline favorites, giving them a 56.52% implied win probability. The total is set at 45.5 points. The over has hit in the last six Packers vs Raiders games.

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Odds as of October 8 at DraftKings. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo code for new users to bet the Packers vs Raiders in Week 5 NFL action.

Kickoff for this game at Allegiant Stadium on Monday, October 9 is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC and ESPN, as well as by DAZN in Canada.

Green Bay vs Las Vegas Betting Trends

The Raiders have been treading water on MNF in recent years. Since the start of the 2012 season, they’re 6-6 SU on MNF.  In more recent news, Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS over the club’s past five games and 1-6 SU in the last seven games.

Green Bay is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS through the last nine games. The Packers haven’t lost a road game to the Raiders since 1984. That was two cities ago. Green Bay fell 28-7 to the Los Angeles Raiders.

In the NFL public betting splits, the people are backing the underdog Packers. Green Bay is getting 88% of spread handle and 91% of moneyline handle. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against AFC West opponents.

Green Bay is given a betting line of +6000 in the Super Bowl odds. Las Vegas is given a number of 6.5 in the NFL win totals. The over is set at -135, with a betting line of +105 offered on the under.

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Injuries Impacting Packers vs Raiders Betting Line

There’s been plenty of line movement on this game and it all seems to be surrounding the ever-evolving injury reports for both teams. At the beginning of the week, Raiders QB1 Jimmy Garoppolo (concussion protocol) and WR Davante Adams (shoulder) were uncertain to play. Both have since been cleared for action.

Raiders’ QB Jimmy Garoppolo is off the injury report and expected to start Monday night vs. Green Bay. pic.twitter.com/7BFE10aWh3

— Fantasy Football News Today (@FFNewsToday) October 8, 2023

When they were doubtful, the Packers were set up as the chalk for this game by as much as 1.5 points. However, news that Green Bay RB Aaron Jones (hamstring) and CB Jaire Alexander (back) are questionable, while LILB De’Vondre Campbell (ankle) and LT David Bakhtiari (knee) are out has caused line movement back to where the Raiders are now showing as the betting choice.

Raiders Adams a Prime Time Player

If Deion Sanders hadn’t already trademarked the name, Prime Time would be a handle that affixed neatly to Raiders WR Adams. He most certainly is a prime time player and worthy of an over play in just about any department in the Packers vs Raiders player props.

Davante Adams is looking forward to facing off against some familiar faces on Monday Night Football.#GBvsLV

— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) October 7, 2023

Making his first start against his old club, ex-Packers wideout Adams will be playing his 43rd NFL prime time game. Adams, whose 14 TD receptions led the NFL last season, is sitting fourth on the all-time prime time list with 31 TD catches.

If Adams were to be finishing this game with 55 or more receiving yards, he’ll be surpassing Raiders legend Tim Brown and moving into eighth spot on the prime time receiving yardage list. He’s sixth all-time in prime time receptions with 253.

Packers vs Raiders Prediction

With QB1 Garoppolo returning, the revenge factor of Adams vs Green Bay, and the chance the Raiders pass rush led by DE Maxx Crosby could have a field day without All-Pro Bakhtiari to protect QB Jordan Love’s blindside, that people are believing in Las Vegas is understandable. It’s also misplaced.

Green Bay hasn’t played since a week ago Thursday. The Packers are arriving well-rested, and in the last five games between the two teams they were outscoring the Raiders 197-74.

Packers vs Raiders Picks: Packers +2 (-112)

 

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